Methods noteRillor Compute Index

How to compare GPU generations on price per FLOP

GPU price performance over time depends on the precision counted, peak or delivered throughput and the price used. This note compares data-center GPU generations on one stated basis.

Cover of the full report: How to compare GPU generations on price per FLOP
The research behind this article, with every source listed. 19 pages.

Key points

From the Summary of the full report

  1. Published trends in GPU price performance over time differ by sample, FLOP and price basis. Epoch AI found FLOP/s per dollar doubling every 2.46 years for 470 GPUs released from 2006 to 2021 at FP32, and a 49% yearly gain since 2023 for chips bought each quarter, in constant 2025 dollars [1, 4].
  2. NVIDIA's H100 page prints its TF32, BF16, FP16, FP8 and INT8 tensor rates with sparsity, which assumes a pruned network, and the dense rate is half. One A100 sparsity test measured a gain of up to 20%, against the 2 times the printed rates imply [9, 14].
  3. The precision and sparsity quoted can change a generation step fourfold. At dense FP16, H100's datasheet rate is 3.17 times A100's. H100's sparse FP8 figure is 12.7 times A100's dense FP16 rate (this note's arithmetic) [7, 9].
  4. Delivered throughput, measured on a benchmark, differs from peak. In MLPerf® Inference v5.0, eight B200s produced 1.60 times the text-to-image throughput of eight H200s at FP8, where the dense FP8 peak ratio is 2.27 (this note's arithmetic) [10, 11, 22].

GPU price performance over time is usually quoted as one rate: FLOP/s per dollar doubling every so many years. For data-center GPUs, that rate rests on three choices. The first is the FLOP counted, with its precision and whether it assumes sparsity. The second is spec-sheet peak or measured throughput. The third is the price, its kind and its date. This note compares A100, H100 and B200 on stated bases, from vendor datasheets, one MLPerf® Inference round [21] and dated public prices.

Every worked figure below is this note's arithmetic from the cited sources and illustrates the method. None is a Rillor Compute Index value, and the note makes no price forecast.

GPU price performance over time: what the trend figures measure

Epoch AI's estimates each answer their own question.

  • 2022 report. For 470 GPUs released from 2006 to 2021, FLOP/s per dollar doubled every 2.46 years at FP32. GPUs used in ML research doubled every 2.07 years and the top GPUs every 2.95 years [1].
  • 2024 data insight. Hardware "at any given precision and fixed performance level becomes 30% cheaper each year" [3].
  • 2026 data insight. Since 2023, chips bought each quarter yielded about 49% more performance per dollar each year in constant 2025 dollars, a doubling every 1.7 years [4]. It counts spec-sheet peaks against card or module purchase prices, weighting each chip by its share of each quarter's spending [4].

The 2026 series was nearly flat at 6% a year from 2023 to mid-2024, then "roughly doubled as Blackwell-generation chips grew to a majority of new spending" [4]. A spending-weighted series measures the mix bought, so it moves when buyers switch generations. Epoch's 2022 sample shows the same effect: it suggests "relevant labs spending more resources on procuring top GPUs over time" as one reason ML GPUs improved faster [1].

Quote each estimate with its sample, FLOP basis, price basis and deflator. A trend spliced from two of them has no basis.

Cost per FLOP starts with which FLOP

NVIDIA's H100 page prints its TF32, BF16, FP16, FP8 and INT8 tensor rates with sparsity, and only its FP64 Tensor Core rate dense [9]. Sparse Tensor Cores handle a 2:4 pattern "where two of every four values are zero" and do the same effective work in half the time, so the dense rate is half [14]. The network has to be pruned first, and on one A100 benchmark the measured gain was up to 20% [14]. Use dense rates unless the workload is pruned.

GPU FP16 or BF16, dense FP8, dense FP4, dense
A100 SXM 312 TFLOPS No FP8 row No FP4 row
H100 SXM 989.5 TFLOPS 1,979 TFLOPS No FP4 row
B200 (HGX) 2,250 TFLOPS 4,500 TFLOPS 9,000 TFLOPS

Sources: [7, 9, 11, 14]. H100 and B200 are halved from the sparse figures, as the B200 datasheet and NVIDIA's sparsity guide state.

At dense FP16, H100 is 3.17 times A100, and B200 is 2.27 times H100 (this note's arithmetic) [7, 9, 11]. Set H100's sparse FP8 figure against A100's dense FP16 and the step reads 12.7 times (this note's arithmetic) [7, 9]. Each generation adds a lower precision, so counting each at its new format inflates the gain.

A lower-precision FLOP is also a different unit of work. NVIDIA reports its NVFP4 format at "1% or less accuracy degradation versus FP8" on one benchmark set for a reasoning model, and marks FP4 and MXFP4 with a "Risk of noticeable accuracy drop compared to FP8" [15]. Halving is not universal either: the B300 datasheet prints dense FP4 as 14 PFLOPS beside 18 sparse [12]. Rates by board, system and form factor are in HGX H200, B200 and B300 compared.

One fix is a precision-normalized metric. The Bureau of Industry and Security defines total processing performance (TPP) from dense rates times bit length [17], and Epoch's 2026 insight uses it [4]. On dense rates, H100 scores 15,832 at both FP8 and FP16 (this note's arithmetic) [9].

Peak or delivered: MLPerf® throughput

Peak rates ignore memory. In MLPerf® Inference v5.0, one submitter's eight-GPU systems give a direct test [22]:

  • H200 has H100's tensor rates with 1.76 times the memory [9, 10]. On a 70-billion-parameter language model benchmark, eight H200s produced 1.12 times the Offline tokens per second of eight H100s [22].
  • On a text-to-image benchmark at FP8, eight B200s produced 1.60 times eight H200s, against a dense FP8 peak ratio of 2.27, a delivered ratio about 70% of the peak ratio (this note's arithmetic) [10, 11, 22].
  • On the 70-billion-parameter benchmark, eight B200s at FP4 weights produced 3.16 times eight H100s at FP8 [22].

Training reports count dense peaks too. A 405-billion-parameter model's pre-training on H100s reported 38% to 43% BF16 model FLOPs utilization, with 430 TFLOPs per GPU at 43% [19]. That is 43.5% of H100's dense BF16 rate and would read 21.7% against the sparse figure (this note's arithmetic) [9, 19].

MLPerf® notes: MLPerf® Inference: Datacenter v5.0, Closed division, Available category, benchmarks llama2-70b-99.9 and stable-diffusion-xl, Offline scenario. Result IDs 5.0-0056, 5.0-0057 and 5.0-0060, retrieved 8 November 2026 from the MLCommons results repository [22]. Ratios and the cost per token below are this note's arithmetic and are not MLPerf® metrics. The MLPerf name and logo are registered and unregistered trademarks of MLCommons Association in the United States and other countries. All rights reserved. Unauthorized use strictly prohibited. See www.mlcommons.org for more information.

Which price: launch, estimate or hourly rent

Purchase evidence comes in kinds. DGX A100 launched in May 2020 at a starting price of $199,000 for eight GPUs [8]. Epoch uses $10,000 to $15,000 for an A100 in 2022 and 2023, and $27,000 to $35,000 for H100 in 2023 [5]. CNBC reported NVIDIA's chief executive estimating $30,000 to $40,000 for one Blackwell chip in March 2024 [24], a range Epoch applies to standalone B200s [5]. Per dense FP16 TFLOP/s, that is $32 to $48 for A100, $27 to $35 for H100 and $13 to $18 for B200 (this note's arithmetic) [5, 7, 9, 11, 24]. None is a transaction price.

Rents vary by provider and pricing type for the same GPU class. Azure's on-demand H100 rate in East US is 1.79 times AWS's in US East, and 5.4 times Azure's own spot rate (this note's arithmetic) [26, 28]. Rents also move with no change in hardware: AWS cut on-demand P5 (H100) prices by 44% from 1 June 2025 [25]. How each provider's price file is read is in reading GPU prices from cloud pricing APIs.

FLOPS per dollar across three generations, from posted rents

US dollars per dense PFLOP/s-hour, price per GPU-hour divided by dense PFLOP/s:

Price source A100 FP16 H100 FP16 H100 FP8 B200 FP16 B200 FP8
AWS on-demand, US East, price file of 10 November 2026 $8.80 $6.95 $3.48 $6.33 $3.16
Lambda 8x plan, rates from 16 November 2026 (A100 40 GB) $6.38 $4.64 $2.32 $3.42 $1.71

Sources: [7, 9, 11, 26, 27, 32]. The arithmetic is this note's.

At the same precision, B200 costs 9% less per dense FLOP than H100 at AWS and 26% less at Lambda (this note's arithmetic) [9, 11, 26, 27, 32]. H100 costs 21% less per dense FP16 FLOP than A100 at AWS, while at Azure's East US on-demand rates it costs 14% more (this note's arithmetic) [7, 9, 26, 27, 28, 29, 30, 31]. Counting B200 at FP4 against H100 at FP8 shows 54% less at AWS (this note's arithmetic) [9, 11, 26, 27], a gap that counts a precision change as a price change.

On delivered throughput, the 70-billion-parameter results priced at AWS on-demand rates give $0.49 per million tokens for eight H100s and $0.32 for eight B200s, 34% less, with FP4 weights against FP8 [22, 26]. This derived cost metric pairs NVIDIA's DGX systems with AWS instances of the same GPU count. The same per GPU-hour rents feed the method in rent or buy GPUs: a break-even method.

Quality change: what a matched-model series holds fixed

The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics separates price change from quality change [33]. A matched-model index follows the same item over time. When the item leaves the market, a less comparable replacement can bring "quality change and an associated price differential into the index" [33]. The hedonic method removes the estimated value of a quality change from the price comparison [33]. Byrne, Oliner and Sichel found their preferred index of microprocessor prices falling 43% a year from 2008 to 2013, while the producer price index fell 8% [36].

Price per FLOP is a one-characteristic quality adjustment: it treats peak FLOP/s as the only quality that counts. H200 shows the gap. Price per peak FLOP counts it as an H100, so any premium for its extra memory reads as a higher price per FLOP, yet it produced 1.12 times the tokens per second [22].

For GPU rents, a matched-model series follows one GPU class and variant at one provider and pricing type, so its changes are price changes [33, 35, 36].

The Rillor Compute Index measures what GPU compute costs to rent and to own under a published method, with RCI Rental broken out by GPU class, region, term and pricing type and RCI Hardware by comparable system grade. Which price each rental index counts is covered in GPU rental price indexes compared.

Read the full report

The full report adds every trend estimate with its sample and price basis, dense and sparse rates for five GPUs, the MLPerf® results with their IDs, purchase and rental evidence by kind, the quality-adjustment methods of the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, a seven-step checklist and the complete source list.

The full report

How to compare GPU generations on price per FLOP

The research behind this article, with every source listed. 19 pages.

  1. Summary
  2. Background
  3. Method
  4. Findings
  5. Implications
  6. Limits of this analysis
  7. Sources

Sources

  1. Trends in GPU price-performance. Marius Hobbhahn and Tamay Besiroglu. Epoch AI, 27 June 2022, viewed 8 November 2026. https://epoch.ai/publications/trends-in-gpu-price-performance
  2. Performance per dollar improves around 30% each year. Robi Rahman. Epoch AI, 23 October 2024, viewed 8 November 2026. https://epoch.ai/data-insights/price-performance-hardware
  3. The performance per dollar of AI chips purchased each quarter has grown by an average of 49% per year. Venkat Somala. Epoch AI, 13 August 2026, viewed 8 November 2026. https://epoch.ai/data-insights/chip-performance-per-dollar
  4. AI chip sales documentation: Methodology. Epoch AI, viewed 8 November 2026. https://epoch.ai/data/ai-chip-sales-documentation/methodology
  5. NVIDIA A100 Tensor Core GPU datasheet. NVIDIA, June 2021, viewed 8 November 2026. https://www.nvidia.com/content/dam/en-zz/Solutions/Data-Center/a100/pdf/nvidia-a100-datasheet-us-nvidia-1758950-r4-web.pdf
  6. NVIDIA Ships World's Most Advanced AI System, NVIDIA DGX A100, to Fight COVID-19. NVIDIA Newsroom, 14 May 2020, viewed 8 November 2026. https://nvidianews.nvidia.com/news/nvidia-ships-worlds-most-advanced-ai-system-nvidia-dgx-a100-to-fight-covid-19-third-generation-dgx-packs-record-5-petaflops-of-ai-performance
  7. NVIDIA H100 GPU. NVIDIA, viewed 8 November 2026. https://www.nvidia.com/en-us/data-center/h100/
  8. NVIDIA H200 GPU. NVIDIA, viewed 8 November 2026. https://www.nvidia.com/en-us/data-center/h200/
  9. Datasheet for NVIDIA Blackwell Architecture. NVIDIA, October 2025, viewed 8 November 2026. https://dam-cdn.nvd.orangelogic.com/AssetLink/y441155802qub41q118b2852i557jem5.pdf
  10. Datasheet for NVIDIA Blackwell Ultra. NVIDIA, October 2025, viewed 8 November 2026. https://dam-cdn.nvd.orangelogic.com/AssetLink/1k0p832eq8r5ca0u5383ie5o4tp3bst1.pdf
  11. Accelerating Inference with Sparsity Using the NVIDIA Ampere Architecture and NVIDIA TensorRT. Jeff Pool, Abhishek Sawarkar and Jay Rodge. NVIDIA Technical Blog, 20 July 2021, viewed 8 November 2026. https://developer.nvidia.com/blog/accelerating-inference-with-sparsity-using-ampere-and-tensorrt/
  12. Introducing NVFP4 for Efficient and Accurate Low-Precision Inference. Eduardo Alvarez and others. NVIDIA Technical Blog, 24 June 2025, viewed 8 November 2026. https://developer.nvidia.com/blog/introducing-nvfp4-for-efficient-and-accurate-low-precision-inference/
  13. Implementation of Additional Export Controls: Certain Advanced Computing Items, 88 FR 73458, document 2023-23055. Bureau of Industry and Security, Federal Register, 25 October 2023, viewed 8 November 2026. https://www.federalregister.gov/documents/2023/10/25/2023-23055/implementation-of-additional-export-controls-certain-advanced-computing-items-supercomputer-and
  14. The Llama 3 Herd of Models. Aaron Grattafiori and others. arXiv 2407.21783, version 3, 23 November 2024, viewed 8 November 2026. https://arxiv.org/html/2407.21783v3
  15. MLCommons Releases New MLPerf Inference v5.0 Benchmark Results. MLCommons, 2 April 2025, viewed 8 November 2026. https://mlcommons.org/2025/04/mlperf-inference-v5-0-results/
  16. MLPerf Inference v5.0 results, summary_results.json. MLCommons, 2 April 2025, viewed 8 November 2026. https://raw.githubusercontent.com/mlcommons/inference_results_v5.0/main/summary_results.json
  17. Nvidia shares close up after company unveils latest AI chips. Alex Koller. CNBC, 19 March 2024, viewed 8 November 2026. https://www.cnbc.com/2024/03/19/nvidia-stock-dips-after-company-unveils-latest-ai-chips.html
  18. Announcing up to 45% price reduction for Amazon EC2 NVIDIA GPU-accelerated instances. Channy Yun. AWS News Blog, 5 June 2025, viewed 8 November 2026. https://aws.amazon.com/blogs/aws/announcing-up-to-45-price-reduction-for-amazon-ec2-nvidia-gpu-accelerated-instances/
  19. Amazon EC2 On-Demand price data, US East (N. Virginia), Linux. Amazon Web Services, published 10 November 2026, viewed 11 November 2026. https://b0.p.awsstatic.com/pricing/2.0/meteredUnitMaps/ec2/USD/current/ec2-ondemand-without-sec-sel/US%20East%20%28N.%20Virginia%29/Linux/index.json
  20. Specifications for Amazon EC2 accelerated computing instances. Amazon EC2 documentation. Amazon Web Services, viewed 8 November 2026. https://docs.aws.amazon.com/ec2/latest/instancetypes/ac.html
  21. Azure Retail Prices API, Standard_ND96isr_H100_v5 in East US. Microsoft, viewed 8 November 2026. https://prices.azure.com/api/retail/prices?$filter=armSkuName%20eq%20%27Standard_ND96isr_H100_v5%27%20and%20armRegionName%20eq%20%27eastus%27%20and%20priceType%20eq%20%27Consumption%27
  22. Azure Retail Prices API, Standard_ND96asr_v4 in East US. Microsoft, viewed 8 November 2026. https://prices.azure.com/api/retail/prices?$filter=armSkuName%20eq%20%27Standard_ND96asr_v4%27%20and%20armRegionName%20eq%20%27eastus%27%20and%20priceType%20eq%20%27Consumption%27
  23. ND H100 v5 sizes series. Microsoft Learn, viewed 8 November 2026. https://learn.microsoft.com/en-us/azure/virtual-machines/sizes/gpu-accelerated/ndh100v5-series
  24. NDasrA100_v4 sizes series. Microsoft Learn, viewed 8 November 2026. https://learn.microsoft.com/en-us/azure/virtual-machines/sizes/gpu-accelerated/ndasra100v4-series
  25. GPU cloud pricing. Lambda, viewed 8 November 2026. https://lambda.com/pricing
  26. Quality Adjustment in the CPI. U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, last modified 28 September 2026, viewed 8 November 2026. https://www.bls.gov/cpi/quality-adjustment/
  27. Exploring quality adjustment in PPI cloud computing. Steven D. Sawyer and Claire O'Bryan. Monthly Labor Review, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, February 2023, viewed 8 November 2026. https://www.bls.gov/opub/mlr/2023/article/exploring-quality-adjustment-in-ppi-cloud-computing.htm
  28. How Fast are Semiconductor Prices Falling? NBER Working Paper 21074. David M. Byrne, Stephen D. Oliner and Daniel E. Sichel. National Bureau of Economic Research, April 2015, viewed 8 November 2026. https://www.nber.org/papers/w21074

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